One more day of weak news coming out of the US (US ADP
September US employment change came down to -39k), pushed the dollar even
lower. According to the IMF the Euro is valued fairly but the dollar is
slightly undervalued, which I completely agree to.
The Euro pushing all the way up to 1.3930, and it definitely
looks as though the trend is intact despite the Greece
concerns and Ireland ’s
downgrade. We will have to see this afternoon what the ECB has to say. I’m
hoping to see some retracement to the downside.
The yen as well pushed lower to 82.75 with no signs of BOJ
intervention. Lets see how long it takes before the BOJ intervenes.
I’m thinking markets are going to be fairly quiet today
considering all the data coming out later this afternoon, so let’s see how
things go, I’m going to be wishing for some retracement to the downside, not
sure if my wishes will come true.
Data today
German industrial production – 10am GMT
ECB rate decision – 11.45am GMT
ECB Trichet speech – 12.30pm GMT
BOE rate decision – 11am GMT
US initial jobless claims – 1.30pm GMT
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